Election 2012:
With just under four years to go before America votes for its next President, you’d be forgiven for thinking that it was a little early to start speculating on who will be vying for the Republican nomination next time out. But column inches need to be filled, so we’re going to get speculation anyway. And one such potential name being speculated on is that of Bobby Jindal. To the extent where even The Daily Telegraph has noticed he exists.
Whether or not Jindal would be a good candidate is pretty much irrelevant to me at this point – not just because the decision won’t have to be made for a good few years, but far more fundamentally because he’s already said he won’t run. Sure, things change, but I don’t think Jindal will be alone in deciding to hold off from seeking the nomination in 2012.
In fact, next time out I think the battle for the Republican nomination will be the misfits of the party. Bland, boring candidates like Mitt Romney will fight fruitlessly against the raving Christian lunatics like Mike Huckabee and Sarah Palin. The people most likely to be the next Republican President will hold out until 2016 – Jindal included.
See, Obama is going to be tough to beat in 2012. Regardless of your views on his policies and politics (and I am far from convinced by Obama), I think you have to concede that he is acting with a confidence and gravitas that befits his office. After 8 years of having a slack-jawed ignorant twat in the office, there is someone who looks the part now in the White House. Plus, Obama has the massive advantage of being the incumbent in 2012. Just as Hillary Clinton held off running against Bush in 2004 because he looked hard to beat, I reckon the credible Republicans will hold off until Obama is forced to step down in 2016.
I wouldn’t be surprised if we see Palin taking on Obama in 2012. And also see Palin getting destroyed in the polls. Then, after the Obama landslide, the likes of Jindal will come to lead the party, and take it back to a position of centrist credibility in time for 2016.
Labels: ABH, Election 2012 (US), Huckabee, Jindal, Palin