Election 2012:
With just under four years to go before America votes for its next President, you’d be forgiven for thinking that it was a little early to start speculating on who will be vying for the Republican nomination next time out. But column inches need to be filled, so we’re going to get speculation anyway. And one such potential name being speculated on is that of Bobby Jindal. To the extent where even The Daily Telegraph has noticed he exists.
Whether or not Jindal would be a good candidate is pretty much irrelevant to me at this point – not just because the decision won’t have to be made for a good few years, but far more fundamentally because he’s already said he won’t run. Sure, things change, but I don’t think Jindal will be alone in deciding to hold off from seeking the nomination in 2012.
In fact, next time out I think the battle for the Republican nomination will be the misfits of the party. Bland, boring candidates like Mitt Romney will fight fruitlessly against the raving Christian lunatics like Mike Huckabee and Sarah Palin. The people most likely to be the next Republican President will hold out until 2016 – Jindal included.
See, Obama is going to be tough to beat in 2012. Regardless of your views on his policies and politics (and I am far from convinced by Obama), I think you have to concede that he is acting with a confidence and gravitas that befits his office. After 8 years of having a slack-jawed ignorant twat in the office, there is someone who looks the part now in the White House. Plus, Obama has the massive advantage of being the incumbent in 2012. Just as Hillary Clinton held off running against Bush in 2004 because he looked hard to beat, I reckon the credible Republicans will hold off until Obama is forced to step down in 2016.
I wouldn’t be surprised if we see Palin taking on Obama in 2012. And also see Palin getting destroyed in the polls. Then, after the Obama landslide, the likes of Jindal will come to lead the party, and take it back to a position of centrist credibility in time for 2016.
Labels: ABH, Election 2012 (US), Huckabee, Jindal, Palin
posted by The Nameless Libertarian @ 7:05 am
2 Comments
2 Comments:
I believe that Jindal sabotaged his own chances with his woeful "response" to Obama's speech. The GOP have really got nothing to offer at this point.
It is a shame, because Obama (like all governments) needs an opposition to keep him honest & that. There is a lot to criticise in the stimulus. I am still broadly supporting it, but I wish there were some credible movement of criticism/opposition to it.
Obama will probably go to excess at some stage. After big government Republicans we now have big government Democrats, & it will happen that the opposition to this comes from the right. But it may well be the best thing that the GOP get a right good kicking so they can sort themselves out & get new people in or even be replaced by another party altogether.
I am finding that Andrew Sullivan's blogs is excellent on thsi issue: you may like to read him & shit.
I am a sceptic about Obama, & have become more so since this stimulus. But that is sceptic, not denier. I see the potential for him to be good: around October, I became convinced that he is more substantial & impressive than the whingers would have us believe & this impression has held.
Even if he makes political mistakes, the people he has appointed to top positions, especially scientific positions, are very impressive, at a far higher standard & more reality-based & less ideologically driven than the cunts Bush appointed.
Looking at the period 1992-2009, it's not hard to see why I am a Democrat. (I liked a lot of what Reagan did but that is really irrelevant now because the GOP has changed so much).
The elections to Congress in 2010 will be of great importance & shit. If the Repugs come back it will be bad news for Obama & I'll be a bit miffed myself. But if there is a Dem victory, it will bring about purging & eventual healing on the right, which is what I'd like.
Palin is the front runner, apparently.
Gosh, it's going to be a nail biter.
Post a Comment
Subscribe to Post Comments [Atom]
<< Home