Monday, November 23, 2009

Labour Poll Boost: They Should Enjoy It Whilst They Can

Via Boatang & Demetriou, a poll that is apparently good news for the Labour party:
Labour's hopes of avoiding a general election rout at the hands of David Cameron's Tories will be boosted today as a new poll shows a sharp fall in the Conservatives' lead, raising the possibility of a hung parliament.

The Ipsos MORI survey for the Observer, which will cause alarm in Tory ranks and boost Labour's hope of performing a "great escape", puts the Conservatives on 37%, only six points ahead of Labour on 31%. The Liberal Democrats are on 17%.
First things first, they are still six points behind the Tories in their best poll result since last December. If the election result was held right here, right now, based on these poll results then Labour would still lose. If that is something to celebrate, then things have been really bad for the Labour party. But things get even worse when you consider that in 2005, the Labour party won a third election victory in a row and looked like the dominant force in British electoral politics. Now, they are celebrating the fact that they are still destined for election defeat, except by a slightly slimmer margin. Based on what is probably a rogue poll.

Yes, this poll is a triumph for the Labour party. But rather like their recent by-election victory, it may prove to be a pyrrhic victory on the morning after the next General Election and they are returning to the Opposition benches for what could be a long period of time.

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